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Monday, May 24, 2021

Dhaak : Emperor's New Clothes | राजा के नए कपड़े

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Tonight we bring you another Dadima | दादीमाँ story. This time on popular request we chose a story that our corporate listeners would also relate to. Emperor's New Clothes is about Maharaja Batuk Lal Maurya of Shundi who was really fond of new clothes. Its his story narrated by your favorite host Tushar Sen:


Dhaak : The Matrix | मायाजाल





The matrix as we know it is all around us, we live in it and think it to be real. You have to understand. Most people are not ready to be unplugged. And many of them are so hopelessly dependent on the system that they will fight to protect it. The system is ones ego and ones ego shape our consciousness. They are fundamentally one and the same. To become unplugged implies shattering your illusive identity, the story about you and the world around you. It implies becoming face to face with reality, and thus acknowledge all the negative and positive aspects of the world around you, not only those fit to your story. Let's understand maya tonight dear listeners, my story will help you understand better. So happy listening and do share your views with me onhttps://instagram.com/tusharsarojsen ORhttp://dhaak.com

Saturday, December 22, 2007

13 Things Your Broker Won't Tell You

Axiom One:
Where there is profit, there is always risk. Greater the opportunity of profit, greater the possibility of loss:
There is a close direct relationship between the risk and the reward. Higher the reward, greater the risk. Though this is fairly simple, it is always observed in breach.
Axiom Two:
Gentlemen who prefer BONDS, don’t know what they are missing. On Bonds, there is no return ON our money; there is only return OF our money:
Bonds being Debt instruments unlike equity, yield only fixed return and with inflation and income tax factored in, there is often no return at all.
Axiom Three:
Equity Investment is “risk” investment:
Investing in equity shares of companies is risk related because returns are linked to the company’s profits unlike investing in bank deposits or bonds or debentures where the returns are fixed and accrue to investors regardless of the company’s profits.
Axiom Four:
Stock market behaviour is unpredictable:
Stock market behaviour is dependent on human behaviour and since times immemorial, it has been established that human behaviour can never be predicted with any reasonable accuracy; and hence we have fluctuations in prices of commodities, things and stocks based on greed, emotions, hopes, fantasies, fear and dreams resulting in opportunities of making money out of such fluctuations!
Axiom Five:
Not all common stocks are common:

Though equity shares as an investment class is one, each company has a distinct identity and performs differently and therefore rewards its investors also differently.
Axiom Six:
Investing is nothing but arbitrage of ignorance:

Investing is basically profiting from pricing and difference in market perception of a given product at a given point of time. Stock market is one place where the buyer and the seller both think that they are smart in their decision.
Axiom Seven:
Elephants don’t gallop, zebras do:

Stock prices of big companies with large capitalizations move up or down rather slowly compared to smaller companies because there is not much of market ignorance on big companies to capitalize on. Hence smaller companies tend to reward its investors more handsomely.
Axiom Eight:
Equity investment is not for everyone, nor for all times of a person’s life:
One needs not only “cash” but also “courage” to be an equity investor. There has to be a positive mental temperament and willingness to absorb occasional losses. Those prone to panic at losses should remain invested in fixed deposits with banks and Government Bonds. If you don’t know who you are, stock market is too expensive a place to find it out! Even for a risk loving investor, there is no single static investment strategy valid from his “cradle” to “crematorium”.
Axiom Nine:
Investors make mistake in buying not good stocks at high prices but in buying bad stocks at low prices.
A lay investor tends to buy unsound companies at cheap prices instead of solid companies at high prices.
Axiom Ten:
Equity investment can’t maximize your “income”; but it can maximize your “wealth”.
Actual yield by way of dividends on equity shares with reference to their market value is often as low as 1 percent on our investment. But capital appreciation in equity values can be mind blowingly high. Ask initial investors of Infosys, Pantaloon to name only two companies.
Axiom Eleven:
Saving for investment is not a punishment.
Investing is making conscious choices about how you will use your money. It is not about choosing to live rich or die rich. It is about how you want you and your dear ones should live during your lifetime and thereafter.
Axiom Twelve:
On Stock Prices:

(i) There is no “high” price or “low” price of a stock. There is only the “market” price of the stock nor any price too “high” for you to buy or too “low” for you to sell.
(ii) In isolation, price of a stock is not relevant. What is important is whether a share is “underpriced” or “overpriced”, overvalued or undervalued.
(iii) We do not invest in Stock Market Index; nor in Stock Market; nor in individual companies. We invest in a stock at a price at the correct “time”.
(iv) You can’t control the “market” nor the individual stock prices; but you can control your “reaction” to the market.
(v) Intelligent investing is knowing “what” to buy; smart investing is knowing “when” to buy.
(vi) Your profit is determined by your purchase price and not your sale price. Timing your purchase is important.
(vii) Don’t ask the price of the stock, ask what is the worth of the entire company to know whether the stock is worth investing.
Axiom Thirteen:
On Share Brokers:
(i) Don’t expect your broker to help you to earn “for” you. He is there to earn “from” you.
(ii) The sub-broker made money and the main broker made money and two out of three making money in a single transaction is not a bad bargain.
(iii) Never ask a broker whether you should buy a particular stock, it is like asking a barber if you needed a haircut.

Difference Between Speculation & Gambling

The art of speculating in one form or another has been around forever.When it comes to speculating, there are always three things that you can be sure of – there will be always people willing to speculate, there will always be people who will love to play the game with the first group. Lastly history can be counted on to repeat itself.Sure the object of speculation may change, the rules may change and the technology may change. But in the end it is always the same.However what has happened before is 100 % sure to happen again. You can count on it. Everyone thinks always that they are so original when it always the same story again and again. Whether it is tulip bulbs, precious metals, mutual funds, lottery tickets or penny stocks human nature is human nature.Ignorance, greed, fear and hope determine how people react and thus how prices move and markets behave. People have speculated on everything at one time or another, For the last hindered years and certainly into the foreseeable future speculating on stock prices offers liquidity combined with legitimacy and purpose. Stock speculation, trading and investing have become an essential and vital parts of both our economy and our lives.Trading is just another word for speculating and investing is nothing more than speculating, except that it supposedly encompasses a longer time horizon and for some odd reason implies less risk. Speculators speculate, trader’s trade and investors invest to make money. Traders buy stock or any other object of speculation because they anticipate a price appreciation.Speculation and gambling are similar, with a few important distinctions. One difference is the perception, sometimes true, that successful speculators profit due to their skill or an unseen advantage, while gamblers prosper due to chance or luck.Remember though that it may not happen to you but in the end given enough time or chances the odds will always prevail. The casinos in Atlantic City and Las Vegas were not built with winner’s money.Another distinction is that gambling in most forms has been illegal (at least until government got involved and changed the rules in their favor) while speculation plays an essential role in our markets and thus our economy.These important distinctions make speculating which indeed is what our investment industry purveys as an accepted occupation – indeed one with one prestige and gamblers not being accepted in the same light.Whether a gambler, a trader or a speculator, in all cases the attraction is the same – the chance to make a lot of money in a hurry. It is the immediate gratification of the win that makes these games irresistible - an opiate of sorts.Indeed problem gamblers have been compared to alcoholics in needing that rush which gives them such pleasure and serves amazingly to release endorphins to relax their troubled minds.On top of that the unpredictability of the wins serves to even reinforce this addictive behavior.Not far off of the methods of B.F. Skinner and the rats of operant conditioning fame.

How Oil Prices Affect Stock Market

Ever since the price of crude oil started growing there has been talk about the price of oil affecting the share market and your investments. Now if you think about it logically it does sound like it would make an affect. If it costs a company more to run the company because oil prices are changing then it sounds like it would affect the share price. Same goes for the idea that people will be less or more likely top purchase shares in a company that has something to do with oil. So for instance would you invest in a company which sold hose sockets if you were in a draught? However is this theory about crude oil price affecting the share market actually real?The rational behind this theory is that because many companies freight their products, they have to pay more to transport the products when price of oil goes up so does the transportation cost. This of course drives up the price of the product. So if the company wants to keep the price of their product at the same level, there will be less corporate profit and the share prices will go down after that. Makes sense right? Well maybe not!Companies do tend to put up the price of their product or service if the price of providing it goes up. So the profit margin will stay at approximately the same. However if the mood of the population, and in particular the stock market investor population, changes about the product the industry might suffer. Yes global events that affect the price of products like oil (think about Hurricane Katrina) do affect the investment mood. When there is a massive climb or dip people and investment companies tend not to change their portfolio around too much. But however when something grows in price over time people is less likely to react. We all know that the price of oil is growing but it is not like when a major event happens. Straight after an event occurs fear spreads like wildfire. One person’s fear turns into the fear of an entire investment industry. So no one buys or trades, but there are generally lots of people selling. So there is no actual understanding of what is going on. Once the environment calms down so does the market. So yes in massive bombs the price of oil will affect the price of shares. But in a long term growth situation it won’t matter. The price of oil has almost quadrupled over the last five years. But has the price of shares?Not really because oil has become an even more precious commodity people want it even more. And owning shares in an oil company will give you that piece of Texas gold that you have been craving. So the price of oil shares hasn’t really changed, and if it has it has grown. So if we know that market changes will affect the share price because of the mood of people buying and selling shares we can predict the change. If you feel a change in mood, it is almost certain that there will be change in market. So you can sell, but there also is a chance that the price will raise again after too long.

For Amateur Investors

The Stock Market For beginners can seem like a place to make some fast easy money. You sometimes hear how a stock went up two points, and say to yourself, if I had pulled the trigger on that one I could have made a lot of money. Fast easy money can be made in the stock market. But slow and easy is the way to go, and if you start at an early age, a fast and easy retirement is a reality.Beginners at stock trading should learn all they can in order to succeed. You do not see a professional golfer pick up a club and become good at golf overnight. It takes time and knowledge to be good at anything in life. To start off, make sure you understand How The Stock Market Works. Start at the beginning and work your way up. You did not pick up a book one day and start to read, first you learned the letters of the alphabet.How you are going to trade? knowing this is going to let you know what you need to be reading to learn about it. Are you going to scalp, day trade, swing trade, or buy and hold for the long run. Scalping involves buying or selling a lot of shares in a stock, and you are just expecting a small move in the price. Day trading is close to scalping but you are expecting bigger moves in the price, and you do not hold the stock overnight. Swing trading is when you buy a stock and hold it for two days to two weeks looking for a big move in the price. Buy and hold is when you plan on holding on to the stock for a long time. You believe the company is going to grow in value and the price is going to go much higher.Next you will need to understand what fundamental analysis and technical analysis is:Fundamental analysis relies on economic information, such as the companys financial situation, and quarterly earnings. This can take a lot of time reading each company's financial reports. Their is a paper called Investors Business Daily to help with this. If you are going to be investing in the stock market, you should be reading this paper on a daily basis. Technical analysis is the study of charts. The tool used for this is charting software. Charts show a stocks price movement, and with looking at enough charts we can see everything we need to know about a stock, just by looking at the chart.Another important tool you are going to need is a Stock Trading System. If you travel to a place you have never been to before you do not just jump in the car and go. You look at a map, decide which way is going to be the best. The same is true with the stock market. Many beginners jump in without a plan of action, you have to have a plan, why and when you are going to make the trade, when you are going to take your profits, and you must stay with the plan. Practice paper trading before you start to trade to see how well you are doing. Once you are trading well on paper then it is time to open an account.Now you are going to need some capital to start investing with. Do not start trading with money you can not afford to lose. If you have to start saving a little at a time until you have enough saved, then do it. Even though you went ahead and learned all you need to start trading, does not mean you are going to be a success at the very beginning. It is going to take some time, and you will lose some money. That is why you don't start trading with money you are going to need to eat with.The stock market might seem hard at the beginning for a newbie, but once you learn the basics, Have a plan, and a little experience, you will be on your way to becoming wealthy.

Stcok Picking - Defying Top Down Theory

If you have heard fund managers talk about the way they invest, you know a great many employ a top down approach. First, they decide how much of their portfolio to allocate to stocks and how much to allocate to bonds. At this point, they may also decide upon the relative mix of foreign and domestic securities. Next, they decide upon the industries to invest in. It is not until all these decisions have been made that they actually get down to analyzing any particular securities. If you think logically about this approach for but a moment, you will recognize how truly foolish it is. A stock’s earnings yield is the inverse of its P/E ratio. So, a stock with a P/E ratio of 25 has an earnings yield of 4%, while a stock with a P/E ratio of 8 has an earnings yield of 12.5%. In this way, a low P/E stock is comparable to a high – yield bond.Now, if these low P/E stocks had very unstable earnings or carried a great deal of debt, the spread between the long bond yield and the earnings yield of these stocks might be justified. However, many low P/E stocks actually have more stable earnings than their high multiple kin. Some do employ a great deal of debt. Still, within recent memory, one could find a stock with an earnings yield of 8 – 12%, a dividend yield of 3- 5%, and literally no debt, despite some of the lowest bond yields in half a century. This situation could only come about if investors shopped for their bonds without also considering stocks. This makes about as much sense as shopping for a van without also considering a car or truck.All investments are ultimately cash to cash operations. As such, they should be judged by a single measure: the discounted value of their future cash flows. For this reason, a top down approach to investing is nonsensical. Starting your search by first deciding upon the form of security or the industry is like a general manager deciding upon a left handed or right handed pitcher before evaluating each individual player. In both cases, the choice is not merely hasty; it’s false. Even if pitching left handed is inherently more effective, the general manager is not comparing apples and oranges; he’s comparing pitchers. Whatever inherent advantage or disadvantage exists in a pitcher’s handedness can be reduced to an ultimate value (e.g., run value). For this reason, a pitcher’s handedness is merely one factor (among many) to be considered, not a binding choice to be made. The same is true of the form of security. It is neither more necessary nor more logical for an investor to prefer all bonds over all stocks (or all retailers over all banks) than it is for a general manager to prefer all lefties over all righties. You needn’t determine whether stocks or bonds are attractive; you need only determine whether a particular stock or bond is attractive. Likewise, you needn’t determine whether “the market” is undervalued or overvalued; you need only determine that a particular stock is undervalued. If you’re convinced it is, buy it – the market be damned! Clearly, the most prudent approach to investing is to evaluate each individual security in relation to all others, and only to consider the form of security insofar as it affects each individual evaluation. A top down approach to investing is an unnecessary hindrance. Some very smart investors have imposed it upon themselves and overcome it; but, there is no need for you to do the same.